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Current Win Probability
Atlético Bucaramanga 45.8%
Draw 28.9%
Once Caldas 25.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
28.2%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
29.3%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
25%
16.7%
Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 30.4% – 86.2%.
12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 18. Alba I. 2. Mena J. (C) 4. Garcia J. 25. De Las Salas C. 28. Flores L. 21. Charrupi F. 15. Batalla E. 10. Sambueza F. 7. Londono K. 27. Pons L.
99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 16. Castano J. 2. Cardona J. 30. Tamayo K. 88. Mejia R. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 10. Sanchez L. 42. Quinones J. 9. Gomez P. 17. Moreno D. (C)
Substitutes
9. Caicedo B. 16. Matheus L. (G) 14. Mosquera J. 3. Rea M. 23. Romana C. 11. Salazar J. 20. Zarate A.
12. Aguirre J. (G) 15. Alvarado J. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 33. Patino J. 70. Quinones D. 20. Roa A. 19. Rojas T. 28. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Alvarez L.
Herrera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Charrupi F. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Gomez P. ⚽, Sanchez L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Batalla E. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
50', Londono K. 🟨,
67', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
68', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
68', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
74', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
86', Moreno D. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
86', Sanchez L. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
90+2', Charrupi F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
90+2', Quinones J. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
90+8', Roa A. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
In recent matches, Bucaramanga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Once Caldas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bucaramanga is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Bucaramanga
13
6
7
0
22:12
10
25
9
Once Caldas
15
5
5
5
19:17
2
20
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.98%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Colombia
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 
Flores L. 
Sambueza F. 
Rea M. 
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