Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Colombia	17:00	Win play
Usa	17:00	Fanatiz


	Internacional de Palmira		Real Santander

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.4	4.25	7.1
	1.4	4.41	8.38
	1.39	4.47	7.89	Watch
	1.36	3.8	7.5
	1.36	4.1	8.35	Watch
	1.55	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)	4 ↑ (3.69)	7.05 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Palmira
64.1%

Draw
22.9%

Real Santander
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional de Palmira's performance.

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cuesta W. (G) 13. Angulo J. 9. Brochero R. 78. Caicedo M. 8. Franco Bustillo C. A. 19. Gonzalez K. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 18. Mosquera J. 14. Orozco D. 34. Preciado E. 80. Suarez H.	1. Mora J. (G) 13. Caicedo L. 3. Duran C. 14. Garcia Habib J. P. 8. Garcia J. 23. Moreno B. 30. Perez J. 24. Rangel L. 9. Rey S. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 20. Salas H.
Substitutes
10. Cardona J. 5. Hernandez N. 33. Mina B. S. 21. Moreno J. 7. Mosquera J. 11. Padilla Kevin 1. Perez A. (G) 29. Ramirez C. 6. Velez Carey J. J.	15. Ararat J. 11. Diaz M. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 16. Hernandez J. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 35. Montero 2. Perez J. 25. Segura A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Caicedo M. ⚽,
77', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 4.

Inter Palmira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Santander has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Inter Palmira is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Inter Palmira will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 1.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Palmira won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Real Santander	15	4	8	3	17:20	-3	20
14	Inter Palmira	15	4	4	7	11:17	-6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
21.02.26	Barranquilla - Internacional de Palmira	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Envigado	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Atlético Cali - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Bogotá - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLW
- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
23.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Real Santander - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Patriotas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
20.10.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0
12.05.25	Real Santander - Internacional de Palmira	0:3
22.10.24	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	4:2
12.05.24	Real Santander - Internacional de Palmira	0:2
18.08.23	Real Santander - Internacional de Palmira	2:2
04.03.23	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0
01.09.21	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	2:0

Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander