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Current Win Probability
Internacional de Palmira 64.1%
Draw 22.9%
Real Santander 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
24.5%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
23.1%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional de Palmira's performance.
Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Cuesta W. (G) 13. Angulo J. 9. Brochero R. 78. Caicedo M. 8. Franco Bustillo C. A. 19. Gonzalez K. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 18. Mosquera J. 14. Orozco D. 34. Preciado E. 80. Suarez H.
1. Mora J. (G) 13. Caicedo L. 3. Duran C. 14. Garcia Habib J. P. 8. Garcia J. 23. Moreno B. 30. Perez J. 24. Rangel L. 9. Rey S. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 20. Salas H.
Substitutes
10. Cardona J. 5. Hernandez N. 33. Mina B. S. 21. Moreno J. 7. Mosquera J. 11. Padilla Kevin 1. Perez A. (G) 29. Ramirez C. 6. Velez Carey J. J.
15. Ararat J. 11. Diaz M. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 16. Hernandez J. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 35. Montero 2. Perez J. 25. Segura A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Caicedo M. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 4.
Inter Palmira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Santander has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Inter Palmira is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Inter Palmira will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 1.9:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Inter Palmira won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).