Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Real Santander		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.07	3.43	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.02	3.22	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
29.9%

Draw
28%

Real Cartagena
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Real Santander - Real Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora J. (C) 21. Bustamante W. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran N. 8. Garcia J. 14. Habib J. 28. Perez J. 30. Perez J. 24. Rangel L. 9. Rey S. 25. Segura A.	22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 6. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 8. Guevara L. 23. Lora R. 27. Melendez A. 10. Montero F. (C) 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 24. Tegue G. 11. Yanes L.
Substitutes
19. Ahumada S. 15. Ararat J. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 16. Hernandez J. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 23. Moreno B. 26. Roman B. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 20. Salas H.	7. Aleman J. 4. Barco S. 18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 25. Long H. 1. Montes A. (G) 19. Moreno J. 20. Nieva J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Duran N. 🟨,
30', Duran N. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Montero F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Segura A. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
46', Garcia J. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
55', Rangel L. ↓, Ruiz Bravo D. F. ↑,
62', Bustamante W. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
65', Rodriguez J. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
71', Solarte Espana J. A. ↓, Long H. ↑,
71', Yanes L. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
76', Diaz M. ↓, Guillen Sanchez J. D. ↑,
83', Graciano C. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
83', Melendez A. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
84', Nieva J. 🟨,
88', Nieva J. 🟨,
90+1', Perez J. 🟨,
90+3', Montero F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1.

Real Cartagena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
13	Real Santander	11	2	6	3	13:18	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Real Cartagena - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.48%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
27.10.25	Real Santander - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Patriotas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
24.11.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
20.11.25	Real Cartagena - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Patriotas - Real Cartagena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
15.08.25	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	2:0
09.03.25	Real Cartagena - Real Santander	2:0
27.09.24	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	0:0
28.04.24	Real Cartagena - Real Santander	3:1
26.08.23	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	0:1
12.03.23	Real Cartagena - Real Santander	1:1
16.08.22	Real Cartagena - Real Santander	2:2

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