Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)


	Patriotas		Real Santander

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.7	11.06
	1.38	4.48	8.42
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.37	4.33	9.5	Watch
	1.33	4.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)	4.44 ↑ (3.95)	9.1 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
68.8%

Draw
21%

Real Santander
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patriotas's performance.

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Patriotas - Real Santander Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espitia J. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 7. Campana J. 9. Fernandez B. 19. Figueroa F. 4. Hurtado J. 16. Molina T. 14. Montes J. 3. Palomeque D. 22. Porras C. 21. Renteria L.	1. Mora J. (G) 29. Carrasco J. 11. Diaz M. 14. Habib J. 30. Perez J. 2. Perez J. 24. Rangel L. 9. Rey S. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 25. Segura A. 28. Villamizar J.
Substitutes
1. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 17. Angulo H. 2. Carabali 8. Copete C. 11. Moreno S. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A. 27. Sanchez J. 25. Zapata E.	21. Bustamante W. 16. Chacon K. (G) 8. Garcia J. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 23. Moreno B. 20. Salas H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Diaz M. 🟨,
22', Molina T. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Campana J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Campana J. ⚽,
44', Ruiz Bravo D. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ruiz Bravo D. F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Diaz M. ↓, Salas H. ↑,
46', Fernandez B. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
46', Molina T. ↓, Salazar Sandoval K. A. ↑,
50', Sanchez J. 🟨,
58', Figueroa F. 🟨,
63', Perez J. 🟨,
64', Segura A. ↓, Guillen Sanchez J. D. ↑,
64', Carrasco J. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
69', Campana J. ↓, Copete C. ↑,
69', Montes J. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
74', Rey S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
78', Palomeque D. ↓, Carabali ↑,
87', Carabali 🟨,
90+3', Moreno S. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3.

In this match, Patriotas is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17
13	Real Santander	11	2	6	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
25.01.26	Internacional de Palmira - Patriotas	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	0:3 ✺
20.11.25	Real Cartagena - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Patriotas - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
11.11.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWL
- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
23.01.26	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
27.10.25	Real Santander - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
26.09.25	Patriotas - Real Santander	2:0
19.04.25	Real Santander - Patriotas	1:1
05.08.23	Real Santander - Patriotas	2:1
20.02.23	Patriotas - Real Santander	1:0
Colombian Copa
04.08.21	Real Santander - Patriotas	3:3 penalties
28.07.21	Patriotas - Real Santander	1:0

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