Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Steven C. (Sco)


	Inverness		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.30	4.10
	1.75	3.25	4.00
	1.84	3.30	3.85	Watch
	1.79	3.61	4.87
	1.88	3.45	4.14	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.80
	1.85	3.53	4.39	Watch
	1.81	3.45	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)	3.43 ↓ (3.58)	4.29 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
51.5%

Draw
27%

Stenhousemuir
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

29%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inverness, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Inverness - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inverness (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 2. MacLeod C. 15. Smith K. 5. Savage R. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 8. Mackinnon A. 7. Allan P. 17. Sole L. 35. Stewart A. 11. Longstaff L. 9. Stewart L.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 17. Anderson M. 39. Gillies M. 14. Bilham K. 20. Stevenson G. 10. Shinnie A. 36. Lloyd L.
Substitutes
19. Bates M. 36. Bavidge A. 3. Boutin N. 16. Duncan R. 26. MacGregor R. 12. MacKay D. 20. Osong D. E. 21. Ross L. (G) 10. Wotherspoon D.	4. Buchanan G. 15. Carrick D. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 21. Hodgkiss L. 22. Kargbo H. 37. MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. 8. Robson F. 29. Thomson M.
Coaches
Kellacher S.	Bartley M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Mackinnon A. ⚽, Sole L. (A),
35', 2 - 0, MacLeod C. ⚽, Stewart A. (A),
39', Grant L. 🟨,
43', Meechan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Stewart A. 🟨,
65', Stevenson G. ↓, Kargbo H. ↑,
66', Grant L. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
68', Smith K. 🟨,
71', Stewart A. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
71', Sole L. ↓, Duncan R. ↑,
73', Anderson M. 🟨,
74', Shinnie A. ↓, Hodgkiss L. ↑,
79', Stewart L. ↓, Bavidge A. ↑,
79', Bilham K. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
79', Lloyd L. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
87', Longstaff L. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
89', Kargbo H. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Premiership).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 1.

In recent outings, Inverness has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Stenhousemuir shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Inverness for this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Inverness has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:11 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inverness against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stenhousemuir	12	7	2	3	13:9	4	23
5	Inverness	12	5	4	3	16:11	5	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
25.09.26	Inverness - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Livingston - Inverness	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLL
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
25.09.26	Ayr United - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
11.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Hearts	0:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.09.26	Livingston - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
29.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	3:1
Scottish League One
11.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:0
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:0
16.08.25	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:2
19.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1

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