Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 35

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)

Referee: Muir A. (Sco)


	Dunfermline Athletic		Inverness

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.96	3.35	2.44
	2.96	3.31	2.44
	2.88	3.25	2.25
	2.92	3.26	2.33	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.41)	3.27 ↓ (3.39)	2.36 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
32.4%

Draw
28.3%

Inverness
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunfermline Athletic's form might have worsened.

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inverness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inverness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dunfermline Athletic - Inverness Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mehmet D. (G) 15. Fisher S. 4. Benedictus K. (C) 64. Fagan-Walcott M. 17. Moffat O. 5. Hamilton C. 7. Ritchie-Hosler K. 3. Edwards J. 10. Todd M. 20. Kane Ch. 18. Allan P.	1. Ridgers M. (G) 30. Carragher J. 34. Savage R. 20. Boyes M. 4. Kerr C. 19. Longstaff L. 15. Anderson M. 8. McAllister S. 3. Harper C. 9. McKay B. (C) 38. Samuel A.
Substitutes
12. Breen R. 8. Chalmers J. 38. Holmes B. 14. Jakubiak A. 44. Little M. (G) 11. McCann L. 23. O'Halloran M. 28. Tod A. 36. Welch-Hayes M.	6. Devine D. 2. Duffy W. 40. Lawal S. 12. MacGregor R. 21. Mackay C. (G) 14. Pepple A. 11. Samuels A.
Coaches
McPake J.	Ferguson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Benedictus K. 🟨,
24', Carragher J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Benedictus K. ⚽, Allan P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', McKay B. (Pen),
62', Todd M. ↓, Tod A. ↑,
69', Kane Ch. ↓, Jakubiak A. ↑,
70', Savage R. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
76', McKay B. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
78', Ritchie-Hosler K. ↓, Welch-Hayes M. ↑,
78', Moffat O. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
79', Longstaff L. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
90+1', Tod A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Dunfermline could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunfermline won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
20.04.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWW
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
19.04.24	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Queens Park - Inverness	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Inverness - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Partick Thistle - Inverness	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Dundee United - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
27.02.24	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0
18.11.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Inverness	1:1
02.09.23	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1
26.03.22	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
22.01.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Inverness	1:1
13.11.21	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2
18.09.21	Dunfermline Athletic - Inverness	0:0

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