Match Info

League Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Belarus	Sport TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Hearts TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Stenhousemuir		Hearts

	1	X	2
	8.50	4.75	1.29	Watch
	8.50	5.25	1.29
	10.50	5.80	1.24	Watch
	9.90	6.03	1.29
	9.26	5.61	1.29	Watch
	9.80	5.95	1.24
	9.03	5.05	1.32	Watch
	9.00	5.40	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.31 ↑ (5.86)	5.48 ↑ (4.65)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
10%

Draw
17.1%

Hearts
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

19.7%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

19.8%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stenhousemuir's form might have worsened.

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hearts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stenhousemuir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stenhousemuir - Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 8. Robson F. 17. Anderson M. 14. Bilham K. 21. Hodgkiss L. 11. O'Donnell L. 10. Shinnie A.	1. Reus B. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. 5. McCart J. 17. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. (C) 22. Magnusson T. 78. Mendy L. 29. Kerjota S. 19. Guendouz S. 74. Mato R. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
9. Aitken M. 4. Buchanan G. 15. Carrick D. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 26. Jamieson N. 39. MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. 28. Penman C. 25. Scally S.	23. Altena J. 10. Braga C. 31. Dhanda Y. 30. Fulton R. (G) 11. Kabore P. 3. Kingsley S. 15. McPake J. 7. Miller C. 21. Wilson J.
Coaches
Bartley M.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Grant L. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Williams J. ⚽, Magnusson T. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Mato R. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Grant L. ↓, Penman C. ↑,
47', Young S. 🟨,
61', Anderson M. 🟨,
62', Shinnie A. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
62', O'Donnell L. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
62', Bilham K. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
65', Magnusson T. ↓, Dhanda Y. ↑,
72', Mato R. ↓, Miller C. ↑,
72', Milne H. ↓, Kingsley S. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Dhanda Y. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
77', Young S. ↓, Buchanan G. ↑,
78', Borchgrevink C. ↓, Altena J. ↑,
78', Williams J. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Hearts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hearts is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Scottish League Cup for now

Hearts: 31.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
04.09.26	Livingston - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Queens Park - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Motherwell	1:0 AET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 54.3 WWWWW
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
06.09.26	Hearts - Dundee	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Hibernian - Hearts	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Hearts - St. Johnstone	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.08.26	Rapid Wien - Hearts	2:3 penalties ✺
20.08.26	Hearts - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
24.07.19	Hearts - Stenhousemuir	2:1
26.08.14	Stenhousemuir - Hearts	1:2

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