Match Info

BRAZIL: GOIANO - ROUND 11

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Iporá		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.53
	5.5	3.6	1.62	Watch
	4.68	3.49	1.7
	4.99	3.54	1.68
	4.9	3.55	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.82)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iporá
18.1%

Draw
25.7%

Vila Nova
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.3%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iporá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iporá's form might have worsened.

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Nova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iporá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iporá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Iporá - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Luiz Felype (G) 9. Allan Paulista 20. Danillo Ribeiro 3. Edgar Silva 11. Guilherme Bastos 4. Joao Afonso 2. Lucas Evangelista 5. Lucio 10. Mauricio Ferreira 7. Thiago Andre 8. Tinga	26. Denis Junior (G) 5. Bruninho 14. Eric 19. Henrique Almeida 7. Igor Bolt 70. Juan Christian 4. Kayk 10. Luciano Naninho 2. Mateus Pivo 23. Matheus Cabral 8. Ralf (C)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Goiano 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Vila Nova is Qualified for Goiano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iporá won 1.

Iporá has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vila Nova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vila Nova to win the game is with odds 1.81.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Iporá won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Iporá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iporá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
18.02.24	Goiás - Iporá	1:0 ✺
15.02.24	Anápolis - Iporá	4:0 ✺
12.02.24	Iporá - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	1:3 ✺
08.02.24	Iporá - Goiatuba	1:3 ✺
05.02.24	Atlético Goianiense - Iporá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
19.02.24	Vila Nova - Goiânia	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Vila Nova - Morrinhos	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Goianésia - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Vila Nova - Jataiense	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
25.01.23	Vila Nova - Iporá	3:0
13.02.22	Iporá - Vila Nova	2:0
10.02.22	Vila Nova - Iporá	5:0
14.04.21	Iporá - Vila Nova	0:0
13.03.21	Vila Nova - Iporá	5:0
10.02.18	Iporá - Vila Nova	1:1
18.01.18	Vila Nova - Iporá	1:1

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