Match Info

BRAZIL: GOIANO - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Goianésia		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.75
	4.75	3.2	1.8	Watch
	4.25	3	1.72
	4.81	2.96	1.83
	4.81	3.13	1.82
	4.6	3.05	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (4.43)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goianésia
19.6%

Draw
29.6%

Vila Nova
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.5%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goianésia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Goianésia - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Michael (G) 14. Anderson Sobral 11. Caio Rangel 2. Ferrugem 9. Flavio Torres 8. Gabriel Henrique 23. Kesley 3. Lucas Barboza 17. Luis Gustavo 4. Railon (C) 5. Vinicius	26. Denis Junior (G) 11. Alesson 4. Anderson Conceicao 9. Fernandao 15. Joao Victor 70. Juan Christian 3. Juan Quintero 10. Luciano Naninho 2. Mateus Pivo 8. Ralf (C) 6. Roberto
Substitutes
19. Aguiar L. 15. Gabriel Pierini 16. Galileu 7. Hiago 20. Isaias 21. Kaua 22. Lucas Newiton 13. Mikael 10. Ricardinho 18. Richard Luca 6. Vinicius Paiva 1. Wallace (G)	22. Apodi 5. Bruninho 14. Eric 1. Felipe Scheibig (G) 19. Henrique Almeida 7. Igor Bolt 20. Joao Lucas 13. Kayk 21. Sandrinho

Preview

1st leg.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goianésia won 1.

Recent matches Goianésia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Goianésia won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Goianésia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goianésia
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
25.02.24	Atlético Goianiense - Goianésia	5:1 ✺
18.02.24	Goianésia - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Goiás - Goianésia	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Goianésia - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Aparecidense - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLTT
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
24.02.24	Iporá - Vila Nova	1:3 ✺
19.02.24	Vila Nova - Goiânia	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Vila Nova - Morrinhos	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Goianésia - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Vila Nova - Jataiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
10.02.24	Goianésia - Vila Nova	0:0
04.02.23	Goianésia - Vila Nova	0:2
12.03.22	Vila Nova - Goianésia	3:1
09.03.22	Goianésia - Vila Nova	1:2
04.04.21	Vila Nova - Goianésia	0:2
01.04.21	Goianésia - Vila Nova	0:1
20.03.19	Goianésia - Vila Nova	1:0

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