Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 8

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Ironi Modiin		Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

	1	X	2
	1.43	4	6.25
	1.42	4	6.8
	1.4	3.85	6.31
	1.44	3.92	7.13	Watch
	1.4	4.05	7.24
	1.42	4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.71)	3.97 ↑ (3.39)	6.76 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Modiin
63.8%

Draw
22.8%

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ironi Modiin's performance.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Ironi Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ironi Modiin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Ironi Ashdod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Predictions

Users Predictions: Ironi Modiin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 0 - 1, Masri A. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 9).

Ironi Modiin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ironi Modiin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ironi Modiin to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ironi Modiin won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ironi Modiin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Alef South
15.10.24	Hapoel Azor - Ironi Modiin	1:3 ✺
09.10.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Bnei Lod	4:0 ✺
28.09.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Ironi Modiin - Tzeirei Tira	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWT
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
15.10.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Yavne	0:1 ✺
09.10.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:3 ✺
17.09.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
09.04.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Ironi Modiin	0:3
19.01.24	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:0
27.01.23	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:0
23.09.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Ironi Modiin	3:1

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