Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Ironi Nesher		Hapoel Bnei Musmus

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.25	2.28
	2.67	3.43	2.34	Watch
	2.68	3.5	2.37
	2.71	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.2)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	2.33 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ironi Nesher
33.8%

Draw
27.2%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ironi Nesher's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Bnei Musmus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ironi Nesher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bnei Musmus than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Bnei Musmus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Musmus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ironi Nesher (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ironi Nesher (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ironi Nesher (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

Ironi Nesher is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ironi Nesher may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ironi Nesher won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ironi Nesher	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
11	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
11.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Ironi Nesher	4:0 ✺
02.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tamra	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Ironi Nesher	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Nesher	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLLW
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israeli Liga Alef North
10.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
05.09.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Ironi Nesher	1:1
10.01.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Ironi Nesher	1:0

Upcoming Matches