FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 16
Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday
Location: Orbita stadium (Kaluga)
Kaluga
Irtysh Omsk
1
X
2
1.91
3.13
3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.91 ↑ (1.9)
3.13 (3.13)
3.89 ↓ (3.93)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kaluga 47.6%
Draw 29%
Irtysh Omsk 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
29%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
25.1%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaluga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Kaluga - Irtysh Omsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shakerov R. (G) 23. Boldyrev B. 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. 21. Ilyin S. 18. Ivanushkin L. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 91. Lukinykh E. 17. Matyushenko I. (C) 4. Polev A. 8. Yugaldin D.
16. Savin A. (G) 27. Bavin Y. 89. Dorofeev N. 7. Geryugov A. (C) 18. Krylov I. 6. Saraev K. 17. Shleermakher A. 59. Yanchenko V. 10. Yanushkovskiy R. 23. Zhustjev N. 15. Zhustyev M.
Substitutes
77. Balashov K. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 10. Grishchenko I. 16. Gritsun P. (G) 6. Kuzmin A. 94. Nadolskiy A. 3. Osadchiy I. 32. Sokolov I. 9. Sukhanov I. 15. Yusupkhodzhaev A.
9. Bilalov B. 71. Kazantsev D. 60. Poletaev V. (G) 44. Sadykov B. 25. Solovyov A. 81. Yangaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kuzin N. Y. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
52', Zhustyev M. 🟨,
62', Matyushenko I. ↓, Grishchenko I. ↑,
63', Boldyrev B. ↓, Osadchiy I. ↑,
63', Yanchenko V. 🟨,
70', Dorofeev N. ↓, Kazantsev D. ↑,
70', Yanushkovskiy R. ↓, Bilalov B. ↑,
70', Ilyin S. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
73', Chibisov S. ↓, Balashov K. ↑,
81', Zhustjev N. ↓, Solovyov A. ↑,
85', Grishchenko I. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).
Recent performances by Kaluga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Irtysh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Kaluga is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kaluga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
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Shakerov R. (G) 
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