Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 15

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Red Star Stadium (Omsk)


	Irtysh Omsk		Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk

	1	X	2
	2.94	3.15	2.16
	4.07	2.86	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.94)	3.01 ↑ (2.84)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
26.1%

Draw
30.5%

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

32%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

31.6%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Irtysh Omsk - Mashuk KMV Pyatigorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Savin A. (G) 27. Bavin Y. 9. Bilalov B. 7. Geryugov A. (C) 71. Kazantsev D. 18. Krylov I. 6. Saraev K. 17. Shleermakher A. 81. Yangaev A. 23. Zhustjev N. 15. Zhustyev M.	86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 23. Abazov A. 13. Butenko A. 33. Domotsev A. 10. Gusengadzhiev R. 3. Khagur R. 4. Machilov R. (C) 95. Magomadov C. 19. Selemenev I. 99. Sharifullin L. 7. Torosyan S.
Substitutes
5. Dzhikiya A. 8. Maleev A. 60. Poletaev V. (G) 44. Sadykov B. 24. Shokhin K. 25. Solovyov A. 59. Yanchenko V.	14. Bastyuk I. 97. Fattakhov L. 11. Khutov A. 12. Konyukhov V. 88. Koserik N. 51. Plotnikov E. (G) 8. Saygushev E. 17. Topuria T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Kazantsev D. 🟨,
8', Torosyan S. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Domotsev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Selemenev I. ⚽,
58', Gusengadzhiev R. ↓, Saygushev E. ↑,
64', Butenko A. 🟨,
69', Kazantsev D. ↓, Maleev A. ↑,
69', Yangaev A. ↓, Solovyov A. ↑,
73', Domotsev A. ↓, Bastyuk I. ↑,
73', Butenko A. ↓, Topuria T. ↑,
73', Selemenev I. ↓, Khutov A. ↑,
75', Bavin Y. ↓, Shokhin K. ↑,
78', Zhustyev M. ↓, Sadykov B. ↑,
87', Torosyan S. ↓, Fattakhov L. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Fattakhov L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 5).

In recent matches, Irtysh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mashuk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mashuk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Irtysh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Irtysh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mashuk	12	2	8	2	9:9	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.96%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
23.05.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Irtysh Omsk	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	Irtysh Omsk - Veles Moscow	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Leningradets - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTTT
- Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
23.05.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Rodina Moscow 2	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Leningradets - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:5 ✺
10.05.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Torpedo Miass	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.04.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
05.10.24	Irtysh Omsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	2:1
10.08.24	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Irtysh Omsk	3:0
07.04.24	Irtysh Omsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1

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