Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Star Stadium (Omsk)


	Irtysh Omsk		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.58	5.77
	1.58	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	3.67 ↓ (3.75)	5.05 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
57.3%

Draw
24.8%

Avangard Kursk
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Irtysh Omsk - Avangard Kursk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Savin A. (G) 89. Dorofeev N. 9. Kozhukhar I. 18. Krylov I. 8. Maleev A. 44. Sadykov B. (C) 6. Saraev K. 25. Solovyov A. 19. Ustinov V. 59. Yanchenko V. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.	13. Skorobogatjko E. (G) 7. Balashov K. 9. Beskorovaynyi D. 11. Ignatenko V. (C) 88. Khvat N. 78. Kumsarov D. 4. Mamkin I. 94. Nadolskiy A. 25. Nekrasov A. 10. Slobodchikov M. 46. Sukharev A.
Substitutes
49. Bykov V. 12. Kazantsev D. 2. Kleyner D. 11. Kopylov D. 93. Markin M. 35. Medvedev D. (G) 60. Poletaev V. (G) 17. Shleermakher A. 24. Shokhin K. 88. Zhukov Z. 23. Zhustjev N. 15. Zhustyev M.	26. Borisov S. 67. Kozyrev V. 45. Sedov D. 96. Senik D. 71. Shchipachev V. 33. Tashaev R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Yanchenko V. ↓, Kopylov D. ↑,
69', Kozhukhar I. ↓, Markin M. ↑,
71', Maleev A. ↓, Shokhin K. ↑,
75', Beskorovaynyi D. ↓, Shchipachev V. ↑,
79', Nekrasov A. ↓, Senik D. ↑,
80', Krylov I. ↓, Bykov V. ↑,
80', Dorofeev N. ↓, Kazantsev D. ↑,
86', Khvat N. ↓, Kozyrev V. ↑,
86', Nadolskiy A. ↓, Borisov S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 8 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Irtysh is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Irtysh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Irtysh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
27.09.25	Murom - Irtysh Omsk	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Irtysh Omsk	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Dynamo Vladivostok - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTTL
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
28.09.25	Avangard Kursk - Kuban Krasnodar	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dynamo Vladivostok - Avangard Kursk	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Torpedo Miass - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Murom - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
24.08.25	Avangard Kursk - Irtysh Omsk	1:3
15.06.25	Avangard Kursk - Irtysh Omsk	3:0
09.06.24	Avangard Kursk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1
02.03.24	Irtysh Omsk - Avangard Kursk	3:1

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