Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 13

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Red Star Stadium (Omsk)


	Irtysh Omsk		Veles Moscow

	1	X	2
	6.01	3.4	1.56
	6.33	3.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (5.6)	3.4 ↑ (3.36)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
14.6%

Draw
26.5%

Veles Moscow
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

27%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

26.4%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Irtysh Omsk - Veles Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Poletaev V. (G) 27. Bavin Y. 9. Bilalov B. 89. Dorofeev N. 7. Geryugov A. (C) 71. Kazantsev D. 18. Krylov I. 6. Saraev K. 59. Yanchenko V. 23. Zhustjev N. 15. Zhustyev M.	1. Mitsaev R. (C) 10. Geloyan I. 54. Kistenev K. 5. Koloskov A. 6. Melikov I. 80. Rybalko M. 18. Sergeev D. 97. Shubin A. 23. Skvortsov K. 77. Smirnov O. 8. Tarasenko Z.
Substitutes
5. Dzhikiya A. 8. Maleev A. 30. Razdymakha P. 44. Sadykov B. 16. Savin A. (G) 20. Sentyurin M. 17. Shleermakher A. 24. Shokhin K. 25. Solovyov A. 97. Tarasov Y. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.	19. Bykovskiy A. 9. Giraev K. 88. Kovalkov M. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 87. Nikin I. 92. Popov P. 21. Sapozhnikov I. 20. Sysoev E. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M. 22. Zavezen Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tarasenko Z. 🟨,
63', Geloyan I. ↓, Sysoev E. ↑,
63', Shubin A. ↓, Nikin I. ↑,
67', Bilalov B. ↓, Tarasov Y. ↑,
67', Zhustyev M. ↓, Sadykov B. ↑,
75', Dorofeev N. ↓, Yanushkovskiy R. ↑,
75', Yanchenko V. ↓, Shleermakher A. ↑,
83', Skvortsov K. ↓, Kovalkov M. ↑,
83', Tarasenko Z. ↓, Popov P. ↑,
83', Smirnov O. ↓, Sapozhnikov I. ↑,
86', Bavin Y. 🟨,
88', Kistenev K. 🟨,
90+4', Tarasov Y. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Recent form of Irtysh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Veles has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Veles is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irtysh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Irtysh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
10.05.26	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Leningradets - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Irtysh Omsk	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTLL
- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
10.05.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Veles Moscow	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Veles Moscow - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Kaluga - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Veles Moscow - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Torpedo Miass - Veles Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
29.03.26	Veles Moscow - Irtysh Omsk	4:0
15.10.23	Irtysh Omsk - Veles Moscow	0:1
19.08.23	Veles Moscow - Irtysh Omsk	0:0
Russian FNL
24.04.21	Veles Moscow - Irtysh Omsk	2:1
28.10.20	Irtysh Omsk - Veles Moscow	1:2

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