Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Irtysh Omsk		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.75
	1.55	3.9	5.75
	1.6	3.45	4.8
	1.54	3.65	5.2
	1.59	4.03	5.8
	1.6	3.6	5.25
	1.63	3.82	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	5.41 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
58.2%

Draw
24.7%

Shinnik
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

19.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irtysh Omsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Irtysh Omsk - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Irtysh is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shinnik has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Irtysh is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL
24.03.21	Fakel - Irtysh Omsk	3:1 ✺
20.03.21	Irtysh Omsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
14.03.21	Krylya Sovetov - Irtysh Omsk	3:1 ✺
10.03.21	Irtysh Omsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
24.03.21	Shinnik - Tom Tomsk	2:3 ✺
20.03.21	Chertanovo - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Shinnik - Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
10.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	6:0 ✺
06.03.21	Shinnik - Orenburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

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