Match Info

Date: 24 March 2021, Wednesday


	Shinnik		Tom Tomsk

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.25
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	2.8	3.25	2.17
	2.85	3.2	2.17
	2.95	3.67	2.31
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.98	3.44	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (2.97)	3.34 ↓ (3.42)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
31.1%

Draw
27.6%

Tom Tomsk
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.1%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

20.2%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tom Tomsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Tomsk than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Tomsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shinnik - Tom Tomsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Shinnik has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tom is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Shinnik won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
20.03.21	Chertanovo - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Shinnik - Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
10.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	6:0 ✺
06.03.21	Shinnik - Orenburg	1:4 ✺
27.02.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- Tom Tomsk
Russian FNL
20.03.21	Tom Tomsk - Fakel	0:3 ✺
14.03.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Tom Tomsk	2:1 ✺
10.03.21	Tom Tomsk - Krylya Sovetov	1:3 ✺
06.03.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Tom Tomsk	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tom Tomsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.09.20	Tom Tomsk - Shinnik	Tomsk awarded
07.09.19	Shinnik - Tom Tomsk	2:1
11.05.19	Shinnik - Tom Tomsk	1:0
24.10.18	Tom Tomsk - Shinnik	2:0
04.03.18	Shinnik - Tom Tomsk	3:3
13.08.17	Tom Tomsk - Shinnik	1:3
Club Friendly
03.02.17	Shinnik - Tom Tomsk	0:1

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