Match Info

FNL - Round 9

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Krasnoyarsk)

Referee: Fedotov S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.3	3.75
	2.16	3	3.65
	2.2	3.06	3.75	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)	3.07 ↓ (3.14)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
43.6%

Draw
30.7%

Shinnik
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oparin M. (G) 55. Bogatyrev N. 7. Chukanov A. 21. Ivanov E. (C) 8. Kanaplin A. 17. Kokoev D. 33. Maslovskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 18. Nadolskiy A. 75. Okladnikov A. 3. Tses Y.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 24. Azyavin I. 23. Chistyakov N. 50. Golubev A. 10. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 53. Kotin N. 64. Lanin O. 11. Porokhov I. 15. Samoylov D. (C) 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Substitutes
10. Aliyev A. 15. Balakhonov M. 6. Batyrev A. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 90. Lomakin A. 77. Ogienko R. 39. Sorokin A. (G) 9. Tlekhugov M.	77. Antonov A. 27. Chernyi A. 49. Karaev M. 7. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 21. Pushkarev D. 54. Shmakov I. 95. Vambolt D. (G) 13. Yanov D.
Coaches
Tashuev S.	Boyarintsev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Golubev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tses Y. ↓, Balakhonov M. ↑,
60', Kokoev D. ↓, Batyrev A. ↑,
60', Nadolskiy A. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
68', Samoylov D. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
69', Porokhov I. ↓, Yanov D. ↑,
69', Chistyakov N. ↓, Karaev M. ↑,
73', Okladnikov A. ↓, Lomakin A. ↑,
75', Azyavin I. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shinnik has had a series of away games.

Yenisey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yenisey won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.78% Yenisey: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	2	16
10	Yenisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
23.08.26	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - KAMAZ	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Veles Moscow	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTW
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
22.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.03.26	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0
23.11.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0
06.10.24	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
12.11.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	4:1
07.10.23	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1
12.03.23	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2

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