Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Spring Season - Round 10

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday


	Irtysh Omsk		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	3.53	3.09	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (4.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	2.11 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
26.2%

Draw
29.9%

Spartak Kostroma
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

28.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

28%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Kostroma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irtysh Omsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Kostroma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Raifegerste R. (G) 27. Alekseev S. 21. Chushyalov D. 76. Ershov N. 7. Geryugov A. 99. Karpuk I. 23. Laptev V. 44. Sadykov B. 6. Saraev K. 13. Sharifullin L. 33. Sukhomlinov M.	68. Gaydash M. (G) 3. Bugriev S. (C) 7. Evloev I. 18. Ignatiev M. 78. Kiselev G. 23. Kubyshkin I. 21. Sabusov D. 83. Shmykov A. 5. Vegerya R. 84. Vorobiev I. 8. Zemskov M.
Substitutes
1. Arapov D. (G) 18. Gordienko V. 8. Podoksenov S. 60. Poletaev V. (G) 3. Polkovnikov M. 11. Razborov A. 40. Shakhtiev K. 17. Shleermakher A. 31. Shokhin K.	69. Chursin K. 50. Faizullin D. 40. Genchu N. 4. Supranovich N. 99. Terekhov D. (G) 98. Vyaznikov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Karpuk I. 🟨,
34', Sabusov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sabusov D. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
46', Shmykov A. ↓, Supranovich N. ↑,
56', Vorobiev I. ↓, Faizullin D. ↑,
58', Kubyshkin I. ↓, Vyaznikov A. ↑,
68', Evloev I. ↓, Genchu N. ↑,
78', Karpuk I. ↓, Razborov A. ↑,
88', Ershov N. ↓, Shleermakher A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Fall Season: )).

Irtysh is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spartak Kostroma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spartak Kostroma will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Irtysh won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Irtysh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
13.04.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Irtysh Omsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Irtysh Omsk	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Irtysh Omsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTTL
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
13.04.24	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Spartak Kostroma	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Spartak Kostroma - Torpedo Miass	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Spartak Kostroma	0:3 ✺
30.03.24	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Avangard Kursk - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
12.11.23	Irtysh Omsk - Spartak Kostroma	2:0
16.07.23	Spartak Kostroma - Irtysh Omsk	1:2

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