Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez (Metapán)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Isidro Metapán		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.35	7.1
	1.35	4.68	8.66
	1.35	4.95	7.96	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.4	4.76	6.88
	1.42	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)	4.51 ↑ (3.71)	7.35 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isidro Metapán
67.1%

Draw
20.4%

Hércules
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.3%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

23.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Isidro Metapán's performance.

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Isidro Metapán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Isidro Metapán - Hércules Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Isidro Metapán (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Isidro Metapán (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Isidro Metapán (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Urrutia J. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 1 - 1, Lopez Esquivel W. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Isidro Metapán is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hércules has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Isidro Metapán has had a series of away games.

In this match, Isidro Metapán is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Isidro Metapán won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Isidro Metapán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Metapan	13	8	2	3	20:12	8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
01.03.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
26.02.26	Inter FA - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
22.02.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
18.02.26	Isidro Metapán - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cacahuatique - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTWT
- CD Hércules
El Salvador Primera Division
01.03.26	Hércules - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	0:4 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
26.02.26	Fuerte Aguilares - Hércules	1:3 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
21.02.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Hércules	3:2 ✺
18.02.26	Hércules - Cacahuatique	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Inter FA - Hércules	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
16.11.25	Hércules - Isidro Metapán	0:2
13.09.25	Isidro Metapán - Hércules	3:1

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