The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hércules 31.8%
Draw 27.8%
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
29.5%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
29%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Hércules - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, ⚽,
78', 🟥,
83', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
Recent form of Hércules has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Platense Municipal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Hércules may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Platense Municipal could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Platense Municipal
15
5
4
6
19:20
-1
19
Last Results with these Odds
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.