Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Iskra Smolensk		Luki-Energiya

	1	X	2
	6.96	3.94	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.96 ↑ (5.87)	3.94 ↑ (3.26)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskra Smolensk
13.3%

Draw
23.4%

Luki-Energiya
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

27.8%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

27%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luki-Energiya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-5%)

Iskra Smolensk - Luki Energiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Shapovalov E. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Kiselev V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2).

Recent form of Iskra has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Luki-Energiya is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Luki-Energiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Luki-Energiya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Luki-Energiya is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Luki-Energiya	24	14	6	4	36:21	15	48
11	Iskra Smolensk	25	6	6	13	24:47	-23	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
06.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Irkutsk - Iskra Smolensk	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Dynamo Vologda	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Baltika 2 - Iskra Smolensk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLWL
- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.06.26	Luki-Energiya - Murom	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Luki-Energiya - Torpedo Vladimir	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Irkutsk - Luki-Energiya	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Luki-Energiya - Dynamo Vologda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWW

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