Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Torpedo Vladimir		Iskra Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.93	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)	6.05 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Vladimir
61.2%

Draw
23.5%

Iskra Smolensk
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

22%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Vladimir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Vladimir's performance.

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Vladimir than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Vladimir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iskra Smolensk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torpedo Vladimir - Iskra Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Sokolov V. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th and 14th in the Relegation).

Torpedo Vladimir has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Iskra is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Iskra could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Torpedo Vladimir carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Torpedo Vladimir has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Vladimir	23	9	5	9	22:27	-5	32
11	Iskra Smolensk	25	6	6	13	24:47	-23	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Vladimir
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
13.09.26	Murom - Torpedo Vladimir	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Torpedo Vladimir	2:3 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Krasnoye Znamya	0:1 penalties ✺
12.08.26	Strogino Moskva - Torpedo Vladimir	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW
- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
06.09.26	Dynamo Vologda - Iskra Smolensk	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Iskra Smolensk - Baltika 2	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Yenisey 2 - Iskra Smolensk	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Iskra Smolensk - Chertanovo	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Kaluga - Iskra Smolensk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
30.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1

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