Match Info

HNL - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Aldo Drosina (Pula)

Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Istra 1961		Lokomotiva Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.30	3.40	2.90
	2.15	3.3	3.15
	2.15	3.5	3.33
	2.13	3.49	3.21	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.11	3.5	3.19	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istra 1961
43.2%

Draw
27.4%

Lokomotiva Zagreb
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolic F. (C) 44. Hrvatin R. 3. Nasraoui M. 16. Miettinen S. 13. Sepic N. 34. Kablar M. 25. Albarracin G. 22. Frederiksen E. 80. Saranic I. 30. Skafar Zuzic N. 94. Jaganjac H.	12. Posavec J. (G) 14. Lorber M. 4. Triantafyllou A. 5. Jukic T. 17. Pajac M. 8. Katic I. 10. Subotic M. (C) 7. Vukovic D. 29. Vasilj J. 11. Susak M. 24. Maric M.
Substitutes
77. Agada C. 20. Ahmeti D. 18. Bangura S. 27. Celija D. 88. Doumbia D. 11. Gorican S. 97. Kadusic A. 8. Mauric A. 66. Momoh M. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 24. Taraba F. 23. Ukich S.	22. Antunovic M. 9. Belcar L. 20. Cabrajic K. 28. Djurkovic N. 6. Fetai F. 27. Godec N. 21. Kralevski T. 30. Reic D. 32. Savatovic L. (G) 15. Thaqi D.
Coaches
Cabello J.	Jelavic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Triantafyllou A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Frederiksen E. ⚽, Skafar Zuzic N. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Vukovic D. ⚽, Maric M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lorber M. ↓, Godec N. ↑,
49', Pajac M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Frederiksen E. ⚽,
61', Vasilj J. ↓, Belcar L. ↑,
63', Hrvatin R. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
63', Kablar M. ↓, Doumbia D. ↑,
71', Maric M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
77', Albarracin G. ↓, Mauric A. ↑,
77', Skafar Zuzic N. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
79', Godec N. 🟨,
85', Saranic I. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
87', Susak M. ↓, Thaqi D. ↑,
87', Vukovic D. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Katic I. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
90+4', Antunovic M. 🟨,
90+4', Katic I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.

Lokomotiva is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Istra 1961 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lokomotiva has had a series of home games.

Istra 1961 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17:14	3	12
7	Lok. Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11:16	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istra 1961
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lecce - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
21.07.26	Istra 1961 - Orijent	5:2 ✺
17.07.26	Istra 1961 - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.05.26	Varaždin - Istra 1961	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWLT
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	3:1 ✺
10.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Partizan	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - NK Bravo	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Vllaznia Shkodër	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
11.04.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	2:0
30.01.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1
25.10.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	1:2
09.08.25	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:2
03.05.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	0:0
Croatian Cup
04.03.25	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:0
Croatian HNL
28.02.25	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:2

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