Match Info

HNL - Round 35

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Aldo Drosina (Pula)

Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Istra 1961		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	4.95	3.65	1.65
	5.11	3.7	1.74
	5.21	3.6	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.7
	5.01	3.64	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.46)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istra 1961
18.7%

Draw
26%

Rijeka
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.5%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

25.9%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Istra 1961 - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolic F. (G) 24. Taraba F. 38. Kumar R. 16. Miettinen S. 97. Kadusic A. 10. Loncar S. 5. Radosevic J. (C) 13. Sepic N. 8. Mauric A. 20. Ahmeti D. 9. Prevljak S.	99. Todorovic A. (G) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 34. Devetak M. 24. Legbo D. 66. Pavic B. 55. Barco A. 20. Ndockyt M. 10. Fruk T. 14. Gojak A. 18. Adu Adjei D.
Substitutes
77. Agada C. 25. Albarracin G. 17. Frederiksen E. 11. Gorican S. 26. Heister M. 44. Hrvatin R. 3. Nasraoui M. 29. Obando A. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 7. Rozic V. 30. Skafar Zuzic N. 23. Stulac L.	91. Bodetic N. 9. Cop D. 26. Dantas T. 2. Kitin L. 1. Kovac V. (G) 23. Lasickas J. 11. Rukavina G. 25. Thaqi D. 13. Zlomislic M. (G)
Coaches
Rezic K.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Prevljak S. 🟨,
43', Barco A. 🟨,
43', Pavic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Legbo D. 🟥,
62', Kadusic A. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
62', Ndockyt M. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
72', Sepic N. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
73', Mauric A. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
83', Ahmeti D. ↓, Skafar Zuzic N. ↑,
84', Heister M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Rijeka is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Istra 1961 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T. (Injury) Husic A. (Inactive) Morchiladze T. (Inactive) Skoric M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Istra 1961: Nasraoui M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:36. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rijeka	7	4	2	1	13:7	6	14
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17:14	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Rijeka - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.57%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
10.05.26	Osijek - Istra 1961	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo	3:1 ✺
27.04.26	Gorica - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Istra 1961 - Vukovar 91	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLL
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian Cup
13.05.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
08.05.26	Rijeka - Vukovar 91	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
15.03.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:2
20.01.26	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	1:2
27.09.25	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:0
19.04.25	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	2:0
Croatian Cup
02.04.25	Rijeka - Istra 1961	1:0
Croatian HNL
09.02.25	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:1
03.11.24	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	0:1

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