Match Info

Sergipano - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)


	Itabaiana		Desportiva Aracaju

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.7
	1.47	3.83	6.98	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.39	3.9	7.95
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.27)	3.93 ↓ (4.66)	7.13 ↓ (10.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
64.1%

Draw
23.2%

Desportiva Aracaju
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

19.6%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabaiana's form might have worsened.

Desportiva Aracaju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Itabaiana - Desportiva Aracaju Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Pedrao ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Jonata ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Jonata ⚽,
88', Felipe L. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Desportiva Aracaju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Itabaiana is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
21.01.26	Itabaiana - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Falcon - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Itabaiana - Atlético Gloriense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Penedense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.25	ABC - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW
- Desportiva Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
22.01.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Dorense	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Gloriense - Desportiva Aracaju	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Confiança	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Sergipano 2
25.10.25	Desportiva Aracaju - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Desportiva Aracaju - Atlético Central	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLWW

Itabaiana - Desportiva Aracaju: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide