Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	ABC		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.33
	1.72	3.2	4.65
	1.74	3.35	5.19
	4.38	2.38	2.34	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.74	3.24	4.64	Watch
	2	3.15	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.94)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	4.16 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
44.9%

Draw
31.7%

Itabaiana
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

30.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The chances for Itabaiana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

ABC - Itabaiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Itabaiana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ABC: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. ABC (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pedro Paulo (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 20. Alisson Taddei 4. Bruno Bispo 17. Bruno Leite 16. Manoel 26. Matheus Rocha 5. Randerson 23. Richardson 19. Ronaldy 11. Wallyson	1. Leo Souza (G) 4. Betao (C) 5. Carlos Coppetti 10. Dione 11. Elimar 3. Fredson 9. Jackson 8. Karl 7. Leilson 2. Lucas Marques 6. Tarcisio
Substitutes
10. Anderson Rosa 1. Felipe Garcia (G) 18. Jenison 28. Joaozinho 25. Juninho 21. Kaua 22. Lucas Mota 7. Oziel 27. Patric 14. Rafael Oller 13. Renato Vischi 15. Windson	14. Belem P. 17. Caio Felipe 21. David 18. DG 20. Fabricio Oya 13. Gabriel Marques 12. Jefferson (G) 19. Joao Vitor 16. Kauan Santos 15. Vini Locatelli
Coaches
Tostao J.	Xha F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Pedro Paulo 🟥,
13', Ronaldy ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
22', Dione 🟨,
23', Fredson 🟨,
45+2', Karl 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Dione ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruno Bispo ↓, Windson ↑,
58', Wallyson ↓, Rafael Oller ↑,
58', Randerson ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
61', Dione ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
61', Lucas Marques ↓, Belem P. ↑,
69', Karl ↓, Vini Locatelli ↑,
69', Elimar ↓, David ↑,
81', Jackson 🟨,
82', Manoel 🟨,
84', Tarcisio ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
88', Windson 🟨,
88', David 🟨,
90+3', Joaozinho 🟨,
90+3', Belem P. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

ABC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Itabaiana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, ABC is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ABC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, ABC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.25	Retrô Brasil - ABC	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	ABC - Guarani	3:4 ✺
09.08.25	Caxias - ABC	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	ABC - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Floresta - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLTT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.25	Itabaiana - Maringá	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Ponte Preta - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Itabaiana - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Brusque - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Itabaiana - Ituano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.11.20	ABC - Itabaiana	2:0
20.09.20	Itabaiana - ABC	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.03.17	Itabaiana - ABC	2:1
05.02.17	ABC - Itabaiana	3:0

ABC - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide