Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Retrô Brasil		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.65	3.4	5	Watch
	1.7	3.37	5.64
	1.71	3.34	5.53
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.63	3.38	5.28	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)	5.56 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
56.8%

Draw
26.8%

Itabaiana
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Itabaiana (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Itabaiana (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 22. Bruno Marques 25. Eduardo 20. Gledson 6. Gustavo Salomao 26. Ly I. 30. Maycon Douglas 29. Mendonca 13. Mike 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro	1. Jefferson (G) 3. Betao 5. Bruno Sena 8. Gabriel Henrique 25. Gustavo Fagundes 6. Kevin 26. Leilson 27. Rhuan Silveira 15. Romeu 11. Valdeci 17. Wendel R. N. J.
Substitutes
3. Claudinho 17. Diego Guerra 18. Franco R. 11. Junior Fialho 28. Lucas Grafite 21. Marquinhos 9. Mascote 16. Natan 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 19. Rayne Assis 5. Romulo 15. Walce	23. Elimar 14. Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 20. Fabricio Oya 4. Gabriel Santiago 44. Geaze (G) 30. Jackson 19. Joao Cabral 22. Kauan Santos 28. Luis Fernando 16. Robinho 10. Tarcisio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Maycon Douglas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wendel R. N. J. ↓, Joao Cabral ↑,
46', Bruno Marques ↓, Mascote ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Radsley ⚽, Mascote (A),
55', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
61', Gabriel Henrique 🟨,
64', Rhuan Silveira ↓, Robinho ↑,
66', Mendonca 🟥,
68', Mike ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
84', Radsley ↓, Natan ↑,
84', Ly I. ↓, Franco R. ↑,
86', Gabriel Henrique ↓, Jackson ↑,
86', Romeu ↓, Elimar ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Retrô is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
11.05.25	Caxias - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Floresta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ponte Preta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWL
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
12.05.25	Itabaiana - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Tombense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Itabaiana - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ypiranga - Itabaiana	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
15.09.24	Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil	0:2 penalties
08.09.24	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	0:1
03.07.24	Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil	2:1
19.05.24	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	1:2
25.07.21	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	2:2
18.07.21	Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil	1:2

Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide