Match Info

BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 4

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Guimaraes M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Itabirito		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8	4.6	1.34
	8	4.4	1.33
	12.42	5	1.29
	8.9	4.59	1.32	Watch
	8.5	4.33	1.35
	8.48	4.74	1.33	Watch
	8	4.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.9 ↑ (5.86)	4.58 ↑ (3.76)	1.33 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabirito
10.4%

Draw
20.1%

Cruzeiro
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

23.8%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruzeiro's recent form is better than expected.

Itabirito - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodolfo Castro (G) 25. Jamerson J. 15. Bryan Garcia (C) 17. Victor Sallinas 21. Daniel Fagundes 5. Gustavo Crecci 8. David Lucas 16. Serginho 19. Ramon 7. Jo 14. Leo Reis	1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 6. Kaiki 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 8. Matheus Henrique 29. Romero L. (C) 10. Matheus Pereira 17. Marquinhos 7. Dudu 9. Gabriel Barbosa
Substitutes
11. Alessandro Vinicius 28. Alexsander 3. Alison 10. Bruno Menezes 12. Gabriel Parra (G) 22. Hulk 70. Lissandro 9. Luan 4. Luanderson 2. Patric 27. Ruan Levine 18. Victor Ferreira	11. Bolasie Y. 88. Christian 26. Diaz L. 21. Eduardo 23. Fagner 43. Joao Marcelo 41. Leo Aragao (G) 16. Lucas Silva 60. Prates K. 75. Rodriguinho 25. Villalba L. 5. Walace
Coaches
Martins Junior C. M.	Fernando Diniz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
13', Gabriel Barbosa (Pen),
14', 0 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
20', Victor Sallinas 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Marquinhos ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
45+8', Serginho 🟨,
45+9', 0 - 4, Gabriel Barbosa (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jo ↓, Luan ↑,
46', Ramon ↓, Hulk ↑,
48', 1 - 4, Luan (Pen),
55', Gustavo Crecci 🟨,
71', Daniel Fagundes ↓, Patric ↑,
72', Bryan Garcia ↓, Bruno Menezes ↑,
74', Dudu ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
74', Kaiki ↓, Christian ↑,
78', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
81', Romero L. 🟨,
81', Luan 🟨,
84', Romero L. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
84', Marquinhos ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
88', Serginho ↓, Alexsander ↑,
88', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabirito FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.01.25	Uberlândia - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Tombense - Itabirito	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Itabirito - Betim	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	5:2 ✺
10.03.24	Itabirito - Pouso Alegre	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.01.25	Cruzeiro - Betim	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Athletic Club - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Cruzeiro - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTT

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