Match Info

BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 1

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Cruzeiro		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.06	2.98	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.38)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
43%

Draw
29.7%

Tombense
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Cruzeiro - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 34. Jonathan Jesus 35. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 5. Walace 16. Lucas Silva (C) 88. Christian 11. Bolasie Y. 17. Marquinhos 18. Tevis	1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 2. Julio Henrique 3. Roger Carvalho (C) 4. Diego Guerra 6. Dudu Mandai 5. Lucas Santos 8. Rickson 7. Cleiton 10. Pedro Oliveira 9. Douglas Coutinho 11. Anderson Ligeiro
Substitutes
26. Diaz L. 21. Eduardo 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 41. Leo Aragao (G) 3. Marlon 8. Matheus Henrique 33. Peralta F. 75. Rodriguinho 29. Romero L. 22. Vitinho	17. Albert 14. Breno Roma 19. Diego Fernandes 20. Jefferson Renan 15. Joao Vitor (G) 18. Jupi 16. Tarcisio Muniz 13. Vinicius Baracioli 12. Vinicius Dias (G)
Coaches
Fernando Diniz	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Bolasie Y. ⚽, Christian (A),
38', Lucas Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Roger Carvalho ↓, Breno Roma ↑,
64', Tevis ↓, Vitinho ↑,
64', Lucas Silva ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
65', Lucas Santos ↓, Albert ↑,
65', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
66', Douglas Coutinho ↓, Jefferson Renan ↑,
68', Albert 🟨,
71', Walace ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
78', Bolasie Y. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
78', Christian ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
87', Anderson Ligeiro ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Juventude - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
04.12.24	Cruzeiro - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWLT
- Tombense FC
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Tombense - Porto Vitória	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Tombense - Rio Branco AC ES	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tombense	3:3 ✺
19.08.24	Tombense - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
16.03.24	Cruzeiro - Tombense	3:1
10.03.24	Tombense - Cruzeiro	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
06.08.22	Cruzeiro - Tombense	2:0
23.04.22	Tombense - Cruzeiro	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.02.22	Tombense - Cruzeiro	0:3
01.04.21	Cruzeiro - Tombense	0:0
20.02.20	Tombense - Cruzeiro	2:0

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