Match Info

BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Cardoso H. (Bra)


	Itabirito		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.33
	1.77	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.36	4.26
	1.79	3.4	4.26	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.33
	1.7	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)	3.37 ↑ (3.37)	4.3 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabirito
51.5%

Draw
27.2%

Pouso Alegre
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Itabirito - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodolfo Castro (G) 13. Cesinha 4. Luanderson 25. Jamerson J. 15. Bryan Garcia 5. Gustavo Crecci 16. Serginho 8. David Lucas 19. Ramon 14. Leo Reis 9. Luan	26. Felipe (G) 2. Rafael Vaz 3. Victao 5. Felipe Moreira 15. Samuel 16. Guilherme Aguiar 18. Martinez F. 8. Sandro Rios 19. Magno 22. Caicedo J. 20. Maxuel
Substitutes
11. Alessandro Vinicius 28. Alexsander 3. Alison 21. Daniel Fagundes 23. George (G) 22. Hulk 7. Jo 70. Lissandro 27. Ruan Levine 18. Victor Ferreira 6. Wallace	7. Dagoberto 17. Foguinho 23. Gabriel Falcao 13. Gabriel Moura 6. Jonathan 4. Mailson 14. Marcao 12. Natan (G) 10. Ray Breno 9. Thaileon 11. Wandinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ramon ⚽, Leo Reis (A),
43', Serginho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felipe Moreira ↓, Wandinho ↑,
46', Rafael Vaz ↓, Foguinho ↑,
48', Victao 🟨,
65', Cesinha ↓, Daniel Fagundes ↑,
65', David Lucas ↓, Alexsander ↑,
66', Maxuel ↓, Thaileon ↑,
68', Jamerson J. 🟨,
74', Serginho 🟨,
77', Luan ↓, Victor Ferreira ↑,
80', Magno ↓, Dagoberto ↑,
82', Caicedo J. ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
85', Sandro Rios 🟥,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Itabirito will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Itabirito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 2:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Itabirito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabirito FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
05.02.25	Villa Nova AC - Itabirito	1:4 ✺
02.02.25	Itabirito - Aymorés	0:0 ✺
30.01.25	Itabirito - Cruzeiro	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Uberlândia - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Tombense - Itabirito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLTL
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
05.02.25	Pouso Alegre - Betim	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	2:4 ✺
29.01.25	Tombense - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
23.01.25	América Mineiro - Pouso Alegre	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
16.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	5:2
10.03.24	Itabirito - Pouso Alegre	4:1
08.02.24	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	2:0

Itabirito - Pouso Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide