Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 9

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:45	Optus Sport
Brazil	16:45	ESPN
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	MTV Urheilu
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 1
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	SRF
United Kingdom	19:45	Viaplay


	Italy		North Macedonia

	1	X	2
	1.13	8.5	21
	1.13	9	23
	1.12	9	29	Watch
	1.12	9.8	23
	1.12	9.79	22.82
	1.14	7	23
	1.12	8.9	24
	1.11	9.2	24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.17)	8.9 ↑ (7)	23.73 ↑ (13.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
85.2%

Draw
10.8%

North Macedonia
4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

79.8%

13.3%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Italy's performance.

North Macedonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	5.2%	8.6%

Italy - North Macedonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 50 - 86.2%). North Macedonia will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 77.3% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (C) 13. Darmian M. 4. Gatti F. 15. Acerbi F. 3. Dimarco F. 18. Barella N. 8. Jorginho 7. Bonaventura G. 11. Berardi D. 10. Raspadori G. 14. Chiesa F.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 15. Manev J. 4. Serafimov N. 6. Musliu V. 14. Dimoski B. 17. Elezi A. 5. Ademi A. 8. Alioski E. 10. Bardhi E. (C) 7. Elmas E. 9. Miovski B.
Substitutes
6. Buongiorno A. 23. Cambiaso A. 21. Carnesecchi M. (G) 16. Cristante B. 22. El Shaarawy S. 17. Frattesi D. 2. Lazzari M. 5. Mancini G. 19. Politano M. 12. Provedel I. (G) 9. Scamacca G. 20. Zaniolo N.	12. Aleksovski I. (G) 18. Alimi I. 3. Ashkovski S. 21. Atanasov J. 16. Babunski D. 11. Churlinov D. 20. Daci E. 2. Iljazovski A. 13. Mitrovski D. 19. Ristovski M. 22. Siskovski D. (G) 23. Todoroski T.
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Milevski B.

Preview

In this match Italy is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Italy won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy
UEFA Euro
17.10.23	England - Italy	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Italy - Malta	4:0 ✺
12.09.23	Italy - Ukraine	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	North Macedonia - Italy	1:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.06.23	Netherlands - Italy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTW
- North Macedonia
Friendly
17.10.23	North Macedonia - Armenia	3:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
14.10.23	Ukraine - North Macedonia	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Malta - North Macedonia	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	North Macedonia - Italy	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	England - North Macedonia	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
09.09.23	North Macedonia - Italy	1:1
FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Italy - North Macedonia	0:1
06.10.17	Italy - North Macedonia	1:1
09.10.16	North Macedonia - Italy	2:3

Italy - North Macedonia