Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 8

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport, SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport, SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	SRF
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	England		Italy

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	6
	1.65	3.7	5.75
	1.66	3.75	6	Watch
	1.67	3.7	5.5
	1.67	3.79	5.82
	1.7	3.5	5.5
	1.67	3.74	5.65
	1.65	3.75	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	3.71 ↑ (3.58)	5.75 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

England
57.6%

Draw
25.8%

Italy
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	9.6%	21.2%

England - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. England will win (votes: 36 - 69.2%). Italy will win (votes: 11 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for England: 56.7% – 81.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 2. Walker K. 5. Stones J. 6. Maguire H. 3. Trippier K. 8. Phillips K. 4. Rice D. 11. Rashford M. 10. Bellingham J. 7. Foden P. 9. Kane H. (C)	1. Donnarumma G. (C) 2. Di Lorenzo G. 19. Scalvini G. 15. Acerbi F. 6. Udogie D. 17. Frattesi D. 16. Cristante B. 18. Barella N. 11. Berardi D. 9. Scamacca G. 22. El Shaarawy S.
Substitutes
17. Alexander-Arnold T. 23. Bowen J. 16. Colwill L. 15. Dunk L. 18. Gallagher C. 20. Grealish J. 12. Guehi M. 14. Henderson J. 13. Johnstone S. (G) 21. Maddison J. 22. Ramsdale A. (G) 19. Watkins O.	23. Bastoni A. 8. Bonaventura G. 13. Darmian M. 3. Dimarco F. 4. Gatti F. 7. Kean M. 5. Locatelli M. 14. Mancini G. 21. Meret A. (G) 20. Orsolini R. 10. Raspadori G. 12. Vicario G. (G)
Coaches
Southgate G.	Spalletti L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches England won 1.

Italy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match England is a favorite.

There will not play in England: Chilwell B. (Thigh Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Saka B. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Muscle Injury) Wilson C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Italy: Chiesa F. (Muscle Injury) Gnonto W. (Ankle Injury) Immobile C. (Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Muscle Injury) Retegui M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Italy: Toloi R. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches England won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- England
Friendly
13.10.23	England - Australia	1:0 ✺
12.09.23	Scotland - England	1:3 ✺
UEFA Euro
09.09.23	Ukraine - England	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	England - North Macedonia	7:0 ✺
16.06.23	Malta - England	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTWW
- Italy
UEFA Euro
14.10.23	Italy - Malta	4:0 ✺
12.09.23	Italy - Ukraine	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	North Macedonia - Italy	1:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.06.23	Netherlands - Italy	2:3 ✺
15.06.23	Spain - Italy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
23.03.23	Italy - England	1:2
UEFA Nations League
23.09.22	Italy - England	1:0
11.06.22	England - Italy	0:0
UEFA Euro
11.07.21	Italy - England	2:1 penalties
Friendly
27.03.18	England - Italy	1:1
31.03.15	Italy - England	1:1
24.09.14	Italy - England	2:0

England - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide