Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE - LEAGUE A - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	23:00	Optus Sport
Belgium	15:00	Eleven Sports, RTL
Brazil	10:00	ESPN
Croatia	15:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Sport
Finland	16:00	CMore Sport
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports
Italy	15:00	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Poland	15:00	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV
Romania	16:00	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	15:00	SportKlub
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay


	Netherlands		Italy

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.3	3.65	3.15
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.25	3.7	3.18
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.24	3.62	3.05
	2.27	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	3.57 ↑ (3.38)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands
42.4%

Draw
26.6%

Italy
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	27.8%	22.2%

Netherlands - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Italy will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bijlow J. (G) 22. Dumfries D. 12. Geertruida L. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 5. Ake N. 6. Wieffer M. 21. de Jong F. 11. Simons X. 18. Malen D. 9. Gakpo C. 10. Lang N.	1. Donnarumma G. (C) 13. Toloi R. 15. Acerbi F. 23. Buongiorno A. 3. Dimarco F. 7. Frattesi D. 16. Cristante B. 6. Verratti M. 20. Gnonto W. 9. Retegui M. 22. Raspadori G.
Substitutes
7. Bergwijn S. 3. Blind D. 14. Botman S. 15. De Roon M. 13. Flekken M. (G) 20. Koopmeiners T. 16. Malacia T. 23. Noppert A. (G) 2. Timber J. 17. Veerman J. 19. Weghorst W. 8. Wijnaldum G.	18. Barella N. 19. Bonucci L. 14. Chiesa F. 5. Darmian M. 2. Di Lorenzo G. 17. Immobile C. 8. Jorginho 12. Meret A. (G) 10. Pellegrini Lo. 4. Spinazzola L. 21. Vicario G. (G) 11. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Koeman R.	Mancini R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Netherlands won 0.

Netherlands could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Netherlands will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Netherlands won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
14.06.23	Netherlands - Croatia	2:4 ET ✺
UEFA Euro
27.03.23	Netherlands - Gibraltar	3:0 ✺
24.03.23	France - Netherlands	4:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.12.22	Netherlands - Argentina	2:3 penalties ✺
03.12.22	Netherlands - USA	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Italy
UEFA Nations League
15.06.23	Spain - Italy	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
26.03.23	Malta - Italy	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Italy - England	1:2 ✺
Friendly
20.11.22	Austria - Italy	2:0 ✺
16.11.22	Albania - Italy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
14.10.20	Italy - Netherlands	1:1
07.09.20	Netherlands - Italy	0:1
Friendly
04.06.18	Italy - Netherlands	1:1
28.03.17	Netherlands - Italy	1:2
04.09.14	Italy - Netherlands	2:0
06.02.13	Netherlands - Italy	1:1

Netherlands - Italy