What is the expert prediction for Netherlands vs Italy?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Netherlands vs Italy. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Netherlands vs Italy Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, June 18, 2023)

Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE - LEAGUE A - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	Eleven Sports, RTL
Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Netherlands		Italy

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.3	3.65	3.15
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.25	3.7	3.18
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.24	3.62	3.05
	2.27	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	3.57 ↑ (3.38)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands
42.4%

Draw
26.6%

Italy
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	27.8%	22.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Italy will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bijlow J. (G) 22. Dumfries D. 12. Geertruida L. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 5. Ake N. 6. Wieffer M. 21. de Jong F. 11. Simons X. 18. Malen D. 9. Gakpo C. 10. Lang N.	1. Donnarumma G. (C) 13. Toloi R. 15. Acerbi F. 23. Buongiorno A. 3. Dimarco F. 7. Frattesi D. 16. Cristante B. 6. Verratti M. 20. Gnonto W. 9. Retegui M. 22. Raspadori G.
Substitutes
7. Bergwijn S. 3. Blind D. 14. Botman S. 15. De Roon M. 13. Flekken M. (G) 20. Koopmeiners T. 16. Malacia T. 23. Noppert A. (G) 2. Timber J. 17. Veerman J. 19. Weghorst W. 8. Wijnaldum G.	18. Barella N. 19. Bonucci L. 14. Chiesa F. 5. Darmian M. 2. Di Lorenzo G. 17. Immobile C. 8. Jorginho 12. Meret A. (G) 10. Pellegrini Lo. 4. Spinazzola L. 21. Vicario G. (G) 11. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Koeman R.	Mancini R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Netherlands won 0.

Netherlands could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Netherlands will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Netherlands won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
14.06.23	Netherlands - Croatia	2:4 ET ✺
UEFA Euro
27.03.23	Netherlands - Gibraltar	3:0 ✺
24.03.23	France - Netherlands	4:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.12.22	Netherlands - Argentina	2:3 penalties ✺
03.12.22	Netherlands - USA	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Italy
UEFA Nations League
15.06.23	Spain - Italy	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
26.03.23	Malta - Italy	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Italy - England	1:2 ✺
Friendly
20.11.22	Austria - Italy	2:0 ✺
16.11.22	Albania - Italy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
14.10.20	Italy - Netherlands	1:1
07.09.20	Netherlands - Italy	0:1
Friendly
04.06.18	Italy - Netherlands	1:1
28.03.17	Netherlands - Italy	1:2
04.09.14	Italy - Netherlands	2:0
06.02.13	Netherlands - Italy	1:1

Netherlands - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide