Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 15

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Ituano U20		Flamengo de Guarulhos U20

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.50	4.10
	1.70	3.60	3.95
	1.56	3.75	4.91
	1.64	3.76	4.62	Watch
	1.54	3.7	4.85
	1.65	3.71	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	4.55 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano U20
55.5%

Draw
24.6%

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ituano U20's performance.

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Ituano U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Flamengo SP U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent form of Ituano U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flamengo SP U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flamengo SP U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ituano U20 could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Sfera U20 - Ituano U20	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Guarani U20 - Ituano U20	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Ituano U20 - Porto Football Ltda U20	3:1 ✺
11.08.26	Palmeiras U20 - Ituano U20	4:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ituano U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Flamengo de Guarulhos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Capivariano U20	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tanabi U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Mauá U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLTWW

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