Match Info

Primera C - Round 10

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Ituzaingó		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.4	6	Watch
	1.64	3.23	5.38
	1.61	3.35	5.96	Watch
	1.48	3.46	7.43
	1.56	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	6.15 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
58.1%

Draw
27.1%

El Porvenir
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

20.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituzaingó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Porvenir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ituzaingó - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gimenez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Alcalde M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Faillace A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ituzaingó is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
02.05.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Ituzaingó - Leandro N. Alem	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Mercedes - Ituzaingó	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ituzaingó - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Puerto Nuevo - Ituzaingó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLLL
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
03.05.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	4:2 ✺
23.04.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
24.08.24	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	0:0
27.03.24	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	1:4
19.09.21	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	2:1
03.05.21	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	1:0
13.10.19	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	1:0
18.04.19	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	0:1
12.11.18	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	1:1

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