Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Ituzaingó		Acassuso

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.8	2.35
	3.82	2.64	2.32
	3.5	2.6	2.25
	3.6	2.82	2.26
	3.4	2.65	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.65)	2.7 ↓ (2.76)	2.3 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
26%

Draw
34.1%

Acassuso
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

33.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

33.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituzaingó's form might have worsened.

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Acassuso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituzaingó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acassuso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ituzaingó - Acassuso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ituzaingó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ituzaingó won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ituzaingó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
11.09.23	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Ituzaingó - Fénix	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Sacachispas - Ituzaingó	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Ituzaingó - San Miguel	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Villa San Carlos - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLLT
- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
09.09.23	Acassuso - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
01.09.23	Cañuelas - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Acassuso - UAI Urquiza	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Sportivo Dock Sud - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Acassuso - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
13.05.23	Acassuso - Ituzaingó	1:0
06.08.22	Ituzaingó - Acassuso	0:2
11.04.22	Acassuso - Ituzaingó	2:2

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