Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Cañuelas		Acassuso

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.85	2.55
	2.78	2.65	2.67
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.83	2.79	2.68
	2.65	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.27)	2.79 ↓ (2.93)	2.63 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cañuelas
32.9%

Draw
32.6%

Acassuso
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

32.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cañuelas's form might have worsened.

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Acassuso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cañuelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acassuso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
41', Matías Juárez 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 0.

Cañuelas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Acassuso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Acassuso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cañuelas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
27.04.24	San Martín de Burzaco - Cañuelas	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Colegiales - Cañuelas	4:0 ✺
08.04.24	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Cañuelas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
28.04.24	Acassuso - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Acassuso - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Excursionistas - Acassuso	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Acassuso - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
01.09.23	Cañuelas - Acassuso	1:1
29.04.23	Acassuso - Cañuelas	0:0
16.07.22	Acassuso - Cañuelas	1:1
19.03.22	Cañuelas - Acassuso	1:1
18.09.21	Cañuelas - Acassuso	0:0
08.05.21	Acassuso - Cañuelas	2:1

Upcoming Matches