Match Info

J2 League - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	12:00	K-Ball
Japan	13:00	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.40	4.20
	1.75	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.78	4.51
	1.76	3.74	4.4	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.4
	1.69	3.58	4.25	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	3.58 ↓ (3.68)	4.31 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
52.9%

Draw
25.7%

Ventforet Kofu
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

22.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Ventforet Kofu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 15. Nakano H. 35. Fukaminato S. 13. Fujii K. 30. Shota K. 22. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamaguchi D. (C) 10. Nishitani R. 9. Michiwaki Y. 11. Kato T.	97. Higashi J. (G) 3. Nozawa R. 17. Fukumoto S. 20. Endo H. 13. Murakami Y. 27. Takei S. 16. Sueki H. 6. Kobayashi I. 25. Hiratsuka Y. 23. Staccioli M. 10. Naito Y. (C)
Substitutes
16. Araki M. 28. Hisanaga R. 19. Jeon S. 2. Konno I. 38. Kumata N. 21. Matsumoto R. (G) 40. Nagaki R. 27. Yamanaka A.	22. Koide Y. 11. Kumakura K. 96. Kurokawa A. 95. Mendes 19. Mizuno H. 29. Oshima K. 26. Sato K. 41. Wada T. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)
Coaches
Tasaka K.	Shibuya H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Yamaguchi D. ⚽, Fukaminato S. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Fukaminato S. ⚽, Takahashi Y. (A),
19', 3 - 0, Michiwaki Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Murakami Y. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
46', Fukumoto S. ↓, Koide Y. ↑,
67', Kato T. ↓, Kumata N. ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Kumata N. ⚽, Michiwaki Y. (A),
75', Sueki H. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
75', Naito Y. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
77', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
77', Shota K. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
80', Hiratsuka Y. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
88', Nishitani R. ↓, Araki M. ↑,
88', Michiwaki Y. ↓, Hisanaga R. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Yamanaka A. ⚽,
90+2', Nagaki R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 15th and 20th in the Relegation - J3 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1.

In recent outings, Iwaki has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kofu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kofu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Iwaki carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Iwaki has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Iwaki against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Iwaki	13	5	2	6	20:19	1	17
20	Kofu	13	3	2	8	10:27	-17	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
11.10.26	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Iwaki	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLLW
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
10.10.26	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ventforet Kofu - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	5:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kashima Antlers - Ventforet Kofu	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
09.05.26	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
14.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	0:1
Japan J2 League
27.09.25	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:3
05.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:0
16.06.24	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
20.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:1
13.08.23	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1

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