Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 16

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.1	3.35	Watch
	2.02	3.37	3.7
	2.04	3.44	3.47	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	1.97	3.24	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)	3.27 (3.27)	3.51 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
45.9%

Draw
28%

Ventforet Kofu
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kofu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 4. Dohana K. 15. Nakano H. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S. 10. Nishitani R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 27. Yamanaka A. 29. Tanaka K. 11. Kato T.	33. Yamauchi K. (G) 20. Endo H. 2. Inoue M. 3. Nozawa R. 27. Takei S. 24. Sato K. 26. Sato K. 8. Yasuda K. 7. Araki S. 14. Fujii K. 10. Naito Y.
Substitutes
16. Araki M. 3. Endo R. 39. Joo H. (G) 2. Konno I. 13. Murakami H. 32. Owie W. 26. Sakamoto I. 30. Shota K.	16. Hayashida K. 97. Higashi J. (G) 6. Kobayashi I. 96. Kurokawa A. 13. Murakami Y. 29. Oshima K. 32. Ota R. 23. Staccioli M. 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Shibuya H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Endo H. ⚽, Takei S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sato K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
46', Nishitani R. ↓, Murakami H. ↑,
61', Yamanaka A. ↓, Araki M. ↑,
66', Fujii K. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
77', Nakajima S. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
78', Naito Y. ↓, Hayashida K. ↑,
78', Nozawa R. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
82', Nagaki R. ↓, Endo R. ↑,
83', Tanaka K. ↓, Owie W. ↑,
86', Owie W. 🟨,
90+3', Yasuda K. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

Kofu is Confirmed as championsnQualified for J2/J3 League (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Iwaki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	1:2 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Iwaki - Gifu	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Iwaki - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Fukushima United - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
14.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	0:1
Japan J2 League
27.09.25	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:3
05.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:0
16.06.24	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
20.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:1
13.08.23	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
03.05.23	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:0

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