Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Sapporo Dome (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Consadole Sapporo		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.20	3.30	2.70
	2.38	3.35	2.55	Watch
	2.44	3.79	2.73
	2.35	3.62	2.77	Watch
	2.35	3.75	2.65
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.42	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.28)	3.54 ↑ (3.52)	2.66 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
38.9%

Draw
26.2%

Iwaki
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

25.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Tagawa T. (G) 39. Kawahara H. 47. Nishino S. 55. Umetsu R. 17. Uchida M. 50. Urakami N. 18. Kido S. 31. Horigome Y. 71. Shirai H. 11. Aoki R. 23. Omori S.	23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 3. Endo R. 35. Fukaminato S. 10. Nishitani R. 13. Fujii K. 27. Yamanaka A. 22. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamaguchi D. 38. Kumata N. 11. Kato T.
Substitutes
16. Hasegawa T. 29. Kim Geon-Ung 34. Konomi K. 10. Miyazawa H. 22. Safo K. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 38. Toyama S. 70. Vini Peixoto	16. Araki M. 28. Hisanaga R. 39. Joo H. (G) 2. Konno I. 9. Michiwaki Y. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S. 30. Shota K.
Coaches
Kawai K.	Tasaka K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Nishino S. ⚽, Horigome Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 0, Uchida M. ⚽, Omori S. (A),
62', Kato T. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
68', Yamanaka A. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
69', Takahashi Y. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
74', Shirai H. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
75', Kido S. ↓, Konomi K. ↑,
79', Endo R. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
79', Nishitani R. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
80', Horigome Y. ↓, Kim Geon-Ung ↑,
88', Aoki R. ↓, Safo K. ↑,
88', Omori S. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Nagaki R. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 20th in the Relegation - J3 League and 16th).

Consadole Sapporo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Iwaki have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Iwaki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Consadole Sapporo has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:13 (averaging 1.2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Consadole Sapporo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:11 goals (averaging 1.7:3.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Iwaki	10	4	0	6	13:17	-4	12
20	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	10	2	2	6	12:19	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Consadole Sapporo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Vegalta Sendai - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tochigi City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Iwaki - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1
08.02.26	Iwaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:0
Japan J2 League
13.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	1:5
11.05.25	Iwaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
21.06.17	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:5 ET

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