Match Info

J2 League - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Iwaki		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.01
	2.95	3.10	2.15
	3.25	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.33	3.61	2.32
	3.16	3.41	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.55	2.08
	3.54	3.29	2.07	Watch
	3.3	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.98)	3.35 ↑ (3.27)	2.12 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
28.3%

Draw
27.8%

Yokohama FC
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.8%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Iwaki - Yokohama FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 15. Nakano H. 6. Iwashita W. 35. Fukaminato S. 3. Endo R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 10. Nishitani R. 22. Takahashi Y. 27. Yamanaka A. 11. Kato T. 9. Michiwaki Y.	21. Ichikawa A. (G) 22. Iwatake K. 19. Sugita H. 5. Hosoi K. 20. Murata T. 4. Ogura H. 77. Takae L. 48. Shimbo K. 10. Joao Paulo 78. Iwasaki R. 9. Lukian
Substitutes
13. Fujii K. 39. Joo H. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S. 37. Okaniwa S. 30. Shota K. 29. Tanaka K. 4. Ushizawa T.	90. Adailton 46. Fukuoka Y. 15. Hayashi K. 42. Ishii R. (G) 16. Ito M. 13. Kubota R. 29. Nakamura R. 45. Saito K. 35. Uda K.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Sudo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Lukian 🟨,
33', Murata T. 🟨,
35', Iwashita W. 🟨,
37', Iwashita W. ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑,
40', Lukian ↓, Adailton ↑,
41', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Yamanaka A. ⚽, Michiwaki Y. (A),
65', Sugita H. ↓, Ito M. ↑,
65', Murata T. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
69', Takahashi Y. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
69', Nishitani R. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
75', Joao Paulo ↓, Saito K. ↑,
78', Yamanaka A. ↓, Okaniwa S. ↑,
78', Nakano H. ↓, Kuwata T. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Yamaguchi D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Iwaki has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yokohama FC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yokohama FC will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Yokohama FC	9	5	2	2	18:11	7	17
16	Iwaki	9	3	0	6	12:17	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.77%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
05.09.26	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Iwaki - Albirex Niigata	2:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	2:0 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Oita Trinita - Iwaki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 League
06.09.26	Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata	5:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Ryūkyū - Yokohama FC	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Yokohama FC - Sagan Tosu	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Yokohama FC - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.06.24	Iwaki - Yokohama FC	0:4
07.04.24	Yokohama FC - Iwaki	2:2

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