Match Info

J2 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yokohama FC		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	1.88	3.20	3.50
	2.02	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.42	3.48
	1.97	3.47	3.73	Watch
	2.09	3.35	3.4
	2.11	3.41	3.31	Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)	3.36 ↑ (3.15)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
45.5%

Draw
27.6%

Sagan Tosu
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Yokohama FC - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tosu (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Tosu (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ichikawa A. (G) 22. Iwatake K. 19. Sugita H. 5. Hosoi K. 20. Murata T. 4. Ogura H. 77. Takae L. 48. Shimbo K. 18. Shimamura T. 26. Yokoyama A. 9. Lukian	1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 44. Abe K. 33. Ogawa S. 28. Yoshida M. 21. Toyoda A. 6. Sakurai T. 11. Shiohama R. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 9. Takahashi T.
Substitutes
90. Adailton 24. Hata J. 42. Ishii R. (G) 16. Ito M. 78. Iwasaki R. 10. Joao Paulo 13. Kubota R. 29. Nakamura R. 35. Uda K.	42. Goto H. 4. Imazu Y. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 2. Matsumoto N. 20. Nakahara H. 8. Narahara Y. 19. Park Ho-Min 29. Tanaka Y. 43. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Sudo D.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Yokoyama A. ↓, Iwasaki R. ↑,
12', 0 - 1, Takahashi T. ⚽, Yoshida M. (A),
34', Izumori R. 🟨,
40', Takahashi T. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Iwatake K. ⚽, Hosoi K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Hyon R. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
71', Shiohama R. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
71', Takahashi T. ↓, Goto H. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Yoshino K. ⚽,
84', Lukian ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
84', Murata T. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
84', Iwasaki R. ↓, Adailton ↑,
87', Nishizawa K. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
87', Toyoda A. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Shimamura T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 1.

Tosu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yokohama FC is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Yokohama FC	9	5	2	2	18:11	7	17
17	Sagan Tosu	9	2	2	5	8:12	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama FC - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.66%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Sagan Tosu - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.22%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Yokohama FC - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Yokohama FC	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Yokohama FC - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Yokohama FC - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Tochigi City	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama FC	3:1
Japan J1 League
11.11.23	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama FC	1:3
03.06.23	Yokohama FC - Sagan Tosu	1:2
03.11.21	Yokohama FC - Sagan Tosu	0:0
11.04.21	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama FC	3:0
05.12.20	Yokohama FC - Sagan Tosu	1:1
05.09.20	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama FC	3:0

Upcoming Matches