Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 36

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)


	Iwaki		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.68	3.94
	1.85	3.25	3.5
	1.94	3.64	3.68	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	3.74 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
48.5%

Draw
26.6%

Zweigen Kanazawa
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iwaki's performance.

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iwaki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zweigen Kanazawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Iwaki - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Takagiwa T. (G) 6. Miyamoto E. 3. Endo R. 4. Ieizumi R. 24. Yamashita Y. 33. Shimoda Y. 10. Arima K. 19. Iwabuchi H. 14. Yamaguchi D. 20. Nagai S. 11. Arita R.	1. Shirai Y. (G) 25. Kojima M. 38. Yamamoto N. 39. Shoji H. 27. Leo Bahia 10. Shimada S. 17. Kajiura Y. 8. Fujimura K. 20. Kato T. 15. Okuda K. 19. Toyoda Y.
Substitutes
2. Ishida Y. 22. Kato Y. 16. Kawamura T. 27. Machado da Silva N. H. 31. Shikano S. (G) 17. Tanimura K. 18. Yoshizawa S.	9. Hayashi M. 14. Ishihara T. 21. Nakano K. (G) 13. Oishi R. 18. Onohara K. 35. Son T. 11. Sugiura K.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Yanagishita M.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Iwaki is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kanazawa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Iwaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Iwaki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Iwaki won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
17.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Iwaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	2:4 ✺
19.08.23	Iwaki - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWT
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2 League
17.09.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
09.09.23	Mito HollyHock - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tokyo Verdy	0:3 ✺
26.08.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
12.04.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Iwaki	3:0

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