Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 16

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Referee: Kubota Y. (Jpn)


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.5	1.62	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.62
	5	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5.87	3.86	1.68
	5.87	3.86	1.63
	5	3.6	1.57
	5.02	3.62	1.66	Watch
	5.6	3.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (4.91)	3.62 ↑ (3.56)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
17.3%

Draw
25.7%

Iwaki
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

26.1%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

25.5%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Iwaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kushibiki M. (G) 24. Sakai S. 2. Shirowa H. 50. Kikuchi K. 22. Takahashi Y. 29. Tagashira R. 7. Wada M. 6. Amagasa T. 17. Yamanaka A. 40. Sagawa K. 8. Takazawa Y.	21. Tachikawa K. (G) 34. Omori R. 3. Teruyama H. 2. Ishida Y. 40. Shimoda Y. 32. Igarashi S. 19. Onishi Y. 14. Yamaguchi D. 24. Yamashita Y. 10. Arima K. 17. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
23. Hiramatsu S. 42. Ishii R. (G) 5. Kawakami C. 3. Ohata R. 10. Sato R. 11. Sugimoto R. 35. Tamashiro T.	11. Buwanika K. 13. Kaburaki M. 20. Kato Y. 9. Kondo Y. 7. Nishikawa J. 6. Sakagishi K. 1. Tanaka K. (G)
Coaches
Muto A.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shimoda Y. ↓, Nishikawa J. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Yamaguchi D. ⚽, Nishikawa J. (A),
63', Nishikawa J. 🟨,
65', Arima K. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
65', Yamashita Y. ↓, Sakagishi K. ↑,
65', Sagawa K. ↓, Hiramatsu S. ↑,
65', Yamanaka A. ↓, Kawakami C. ↑,
73', Wada M. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
74', Tagashira R. 🟨,
82', Takahashi Y. ↓, Tamashiro T. ↑,
82', Takazawa Y. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
88', Tanimura K. ↓, Buwanika K. ↑,

Preview

Thespakusatsu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Iwaki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Iwaki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Iwaki to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
11.05.24	Vegalta Sendai - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
06.05.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
03.05.24	Fujieda MYFC - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
12.05.24	Iwaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
06.05.24	Ehime - Iwaki	0:0 ✺
03.05.24	Iwaki - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Tochigi - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Oita Trinita - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Iwaki	1:0
16.04.23	Iwaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1

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