Match Info

J2 League - Round 32

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Roasso Kumamoto		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.42
	2.82	3.45	2.6
	2.77	3.20	2.53	Watch
	2.69	3.29	2.54	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.93)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	2.45 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
33.6%

Draw
28.3%

Iwaki
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumamoto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 3. Onishi R. 4. Hakamata Y. 24. Ri T. 9. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 28. Kumashiro K. 10. Konagaya C.	23. Sasaki M. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 8. Shibata S. 15. Kase N. 19. Onishi Y. 24. Yamashita Y. 32. Igarashi S. 38. Kumata N. 16. Kato T.
Substitutes
5. Abe K. 13. Iihoshi A. 25. Kobayashi K. 2. Kuroki K. 16. Matsuoka R. 15. Mishima S. 20. Osaki S. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.	28. Hyun W. 22. Ikoma J. 39. Joo H. (G) 5. Shirai H. 30. Shota K. 14. Yamaguchi D. 27. Yamanaka A.
Coaches
Oki T.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
41', 0 - 1, Shibata S. ⚽, Onishi Y. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Yamashita Y. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
45+2', Sato S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Onishi R. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,
46', Konagaya C. ↓, Matsuoka R. ↑,
56', Kase N. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
56', Fukaminato S. ↓, Ikoma J. ↑,
61', Kumashiro K. 🟨,
63', Iwashita W. 🟨,
74', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
77', Shibata S. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
77', Onishi Y. ↓, Yamaguchi D. ↑,
84', Ishida Y. ↓, Shirai H. ↑,
85', Kumashiro K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
86', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
90', Omoto Y. ↓, Iihoshi A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13).

Recent performances by Kumamoto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Iwaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Kumamoto has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 1:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
27.09.25	JEF United Chiba - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	4:2 ✺
15.09.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWL
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
27.09.25	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Imabari - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.06.25	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	5:1
25.08.24	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:4
17.03.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	0:6
27.08.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	2:4
03.06.23	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	0:4

Upcoming Matches