Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Izarra		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.85
	2.3	3.15	2.78
	2.24	3.16	2.98
	13.05	8.86	1.12	Watch
	2.33	3.2	2.72
	2.14	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.37)	4.15 ↑ (3.5)	2.58 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izarra
28.3%

Draw
27.5%

Peña Sport
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Izarra's form might have worsened.

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Sport's recent form is better than expected.

Izarra - Peña Sport Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peña Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izarra won 4.

Izarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Izarra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Izarra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Izarra
Club Friendly
29.08.25	Mutilvera - Izarra	3:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.25	Izarra - Subiza	1:5 ✺
27.04.25	Barbastro - Izarra	3:2 ✺
20.04.25	Izarra - Anguiano	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Izarra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.09.25	Txantrea - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Peña Sport - Pamplona	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	3:0 ET ✺
31.05.25	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.04.22	Peña Sport - Izarra	0:1
27.11.21	Izarra - Peña Sport	3:1
25.02.18	Izarra - Peña Sport	0:1
08.10.17	Peña Sport - Izarra	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.03.16	Izarra - Peña Sport	2:0
24.10.15	Peña Sport - Izarra	2:1
Club Friendly
07.08.15	Izarra - Peña Sport	0:3

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