Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JäPS		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.30	2.80
	2.02	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.17	3.70	3.34
	2.06	3.59	3.33	Watch
	2.20	3.60	2.95
	2.29	3.54	2.86	Watch
	2.18	3.30	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	3.03 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
42.9%

Draw
26.6%

KaPa
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

25.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JäPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

JäPS - KaPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mustafa B. (G) 10. Ahola V. 3. Haikonen P. 6. Jama O. (C) 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 19. Kuosa H. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R.	1. Collin T. (G) 4. Hietalahti P. 8. Huhtamaki R. 2. Huhtamaki U. 31. Isaksson K. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 28. Lappalainen E. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 22. Ripatti D. 11. Sillah S.
Substitutes
8. Heidari R. 2. Manner N. 11. Pallas E. 22. Taskos G. 36. Valtonen T. (G) 18. Virtanen J.	14. Ahola E. 37. Heinonen O. 19. Koivuranta T. 7. Leinonen N. 12. Piekkanen R. (G) 39. Savini S.
Coaches
Kankkunen T.	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Haikonen P. 🟨,
60', Puputti S. ↓, Savini S. ↑,
66', Ristola A. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
66', Kuosa H. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
69', Isaksson K. ↓, Leinonen N. ↑,
76', Sainio A. 🟨,
79', Ripatti D. ↓, Ahola E. ↑,
80', Huhtamaki R. ↓, Heinonen O. ↑,
80', Sillah S. ↓, Koivuranta T. ↑,
81', Ahola V. ↓, Heidari R. ↑,
85', Katashira C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 2.

JäPS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KaPa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

KaPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

JäPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:35. (average 2.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, JäPS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35
8	KaPa	25	6	6	13	30:45	-15	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
21.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	JäPS - Haka	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	JIPPO - JäPS	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	JäPS - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
20.08.26	KaPa - JIPPO	1:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.08.26	KaPa - Ekenäs	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Haka - KaPa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1
29.05.26	KaPa - JäPS	2:1
Club Friendly
17.01.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:1
Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.09.25	KaPa - JäPS	2:3
02.08.25	KaPa - JäPS	0:3
06.06.25	JäPS - KaPa	2:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
02.03.25	KaPa - JäPS	5:0

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