Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 25

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Stadsparksvallen (Jönköping)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Jönköpings Södra		Östersund

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.7	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.68	3.36	2.68
	2.6	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.58	3.34	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.47)	3.25 ↓ (3.51)	2.58 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jönköpings Södra
35.3%

Draw
28.6%

Östersund
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Östersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Jönköpings Södra - Östersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jönköping will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Östersund will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jönköping: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Celic D. (G) 2. Engdahl B. 3. Berntsson A. 4. Manns J. 7. Moenza M. 8. Adrian S. 21. Isaksson M. 10. Book R. (C) 24. Nikolic M. 23. Karim H. S. 9. Silverholt T.	1. Keita A. (C) 2. Weilid C. 22. Rask T. 18. Mazur M. 28. Adjoumani Y. 16. Sporrong A. 8. Erick 29. Kabuye C. 10. Marklund S. 15. Johnsson J. 17. Stolt M.
Substitutes
16. Bjurnemark A. 58. El Kabir O. 15. Eriksson A. 6. Karlin A. 1. Nilsson A. (G) 27. Nordstrom E. 26. Zekovic S.	27. Ghanoum Z. 6. Hedenquist J. 11. Musolitin M. 19. Nader A. 7. Osterholm A. 77. Otieno A. (G) 25. Sinyan M.
Coaches
Garcia Rodriguez O.	Powell M.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Jönköping is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Östersund is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Östersund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jönköping won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Jönköping won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
28.09.23	Trelleborg - Jönköpings Södra	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Jönköpings Södra - Örgryte	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Jönköpings Södra - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Gefle - Jönköpings Södra	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Sundsvall - Jönköpings Södra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
27.09.23	Östersund - Brage	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Skövde AIK - Östersund	5:1 ✺
16.09.23	Östersund - Gefle	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Utsikten - Östersund	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Östersund - Trelleborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
06.05.23	Östersund - Jönköpings Södra	3:3
30.07.22	Östersund - Jönköpings Södra	1:1
10.07.22	Jönköpings Södra - Östersund	1:0

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