Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 21

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Gefle		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.45
	2.68	3.52	2.59
	2.6	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.64	3.44	2.47	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.49 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
35.3%

Draw
27.4%

Jönköpings Södra
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Jönköpings Södra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Gefle - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jönköping will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gefle: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 19. Aspgren C. 21. Eriksson N. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 16. Persson K. 24. Rafael Y. 18. Capotondi C. 6. Lundin O. . 8. Lundin A. 11. Englund L. 12. Edqvist A.	31. Celic D. (G) 4. Manns J. 3. Berntsson A. 8. Adrian S. 7. Moenza M. 6. Karlin A. 11. Dzelili F. 10. Book R. (C) 24. Nikolic M. 9. Silverholt T. 13. Zekovic S.
Substitutes
7. Eliasson D. 14. Friman S. P. 5. Hakansson N. 9. Hjelte J. 27. Johansson T. (G) 23. Karlsson O. 44. Ranera I.	17. Almstrom O. 19. Ben Lamin A. 16. Bjurnemark A. 30. Eriksson A. (G) 15. Eriksson A. 27. Nordstrom E. 18. Thorsson A.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Garcia A.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Gefle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jönköping has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gefle to win the game is with odds 2.64.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
28.08.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.23	Sollentuna - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
19.08.23	Gefle - Örebro	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Öster - Gefle	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Gefle - Brage	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 LWWWW
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
28.08.23	Sundsvall - Jönköpings Södra	3:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
23.08.23	United Nordic - Jönköpings Södra	3:0 ✺
Swedish Superettan
19.08.23	Jönköpings Södra - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
14.08.23	Örebro - Jönköpings Södra	3:0 ✺
05.08.23	Jönköpings Södra - Utsikten	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
17.04.23	Jönköpings Södra - Gefle	2:1
08.09.18	Jönköpings Södra - Gefle	1:0
18.05.18	Gefle - Jönköpings Södra	1:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.09.16	Gefle - Jönköpings Södra	0:1
17.04.16	Jönköpings Södra - Gefle	1:0

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