Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 33

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Júbilo Iwata		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.48	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.51
	5.91	4.15	1.49	Watch
	6.3	4.42	1.53
	6.29	4.5	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.44
	6.2	4.37	1.52	Watch
	6	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↓ (6.3)	4.3 ↓ (4.48)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
15.2%

Draw
21.9%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21.2%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

20.7%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 15. Suzuki K. 6. Ito M. 36. Ricardo Graca 50. Uemura H. 16. Leo Gomes 25. Nakamura S. 4. Matsubara K. 23. Croux J. 18. Takahata K. 11. Germain R.	1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 14. Matsumoto T. 66. Kawabe H. 24. Higashi S. 51. Kato M. 30. Arslan T. 99. Paciencia G.
Substitutes
19. Bruno Jose 99. Matheus Peixoto 14. Matsumoto M. 21. Miura R. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 55. Watanabe R. 10. Yamada H.	13. Arai N. 18. Kashiwa Y. 22. Kawanami G. (G) 10. Marcos Junior 11. Mitsuta M. 20. Sotiriou P. 9. Vieira D.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Leo Gomes 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Sasaki S. ⚽,
43', Sasaki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Paciencia G. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Matsubara K. ⚽, Ricardo Graca (A),
70', Arslan T. ↓, Sotiriou P. ↑,
70', Croux J. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
70', Ito M. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Kato M. ⚽, Matsumoto T. (A),
79', Shiotani T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
80', Germain R. 🟨,
82', Nakamura S. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
82', Takahata K. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
88', Uemura H. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
90+4', Kato M. ↓, Vieira D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 0.

Iwata is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hiroshima in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hiroshima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:22 (average 0.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
28.09.24	Nagoya Grampus - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Machida Zelvia - Júbilo Iwata	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWLL
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Eastern AA - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
19.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kaya	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
14.09.24	Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
01.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
02.07.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Júbilo Iwata	3:0
17.04.22	Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2
31.08.19	Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2
01.03.19	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
03.11.18	Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:2
18.03.18	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Júbilo Iwata	0:0

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